A PERIOPERATIVE RESEARCH EXPLORER
Patient context.
Physiological history.
Explore how intraoperative physiology updates postoperative mortality risk at the end of surgery.
Concept illustration · model input is charted HR, MAP and SpO₂
INTERACTIVE MODEL
Explore a physiological update
THE RESEARCH
More than a snapshot
of intraoperative physiology.
Patient context conditions how physiological exposure accumulates and how recent history is retained. We evaluated the resulting risk update against preoperative assessment and detailed static summaries, then applied the frozen models across databases.
Does physiological history improve ranking?
In MOVER, AUROC was 0.8450 with physiological updating, versus 0.8234 for static summaries and 0.7293 preoperatively. The paired increment over static summaries was 0.0216 (95% CI 0.0082–0.0355).
View the discrimination figureRanking and calibration tell different stories.
Cross-database ranking gains coexist with probability calibration drift. The explorer preserves the source calibration and the original ensemble.
View the calibration figureHOW IT WORKS
A background.
A burden. A memory.
Age, clinical status and laboratory history establish the patient's context. HR, MAP and SpO₂ contribute cumulative exposure and time-decaying physiological states. A calibrated log-odds increment updates the preoperative probability.
All three frozen source pipelines and their four readouts run locally. Without any core observations, the physiology-informed estimate exactly equals its preoperative starting value.
